Long-term warming effect to sprat Sprattus sprattus phalericus (Risso) stock quality characteristics in Crimea-Caucasian shelf of the Black Sea (the article is printed in English)
https://doi.org/10.37663/0131-6184-2022-2-46-53
Abstract
The Black Sea sprat Sprattus sprattus phalericus (Risso) and temperature factor impact have been investigated. Statistical assessment of the long-term dynamics (1951–2019) of a relationship between the temperature factor and sprat mean weight in fishery catches used as a population quality characteristic has been performed. Pearson product-moment correlation and cross-correlation was evaluated, then data series was smoothed by the local polynomial regression and, finally, a linear model was fitted. The correlation test shows significant relationship between the temperature factor and sprat mean weight-at-age (mean weight in 3+ age group and SST in the port of Yalta resulted in r = -0.86, whereas average SST and average mean weight by age classes led to r = -0.74). The fitted linear model by smoothed data of average SST and average weightat-age successfully passed diagnostics (R2 = 0.87, RSE = 0.34), with the equation: w = f(sst) = 22.23 - 1.263*sst. As a result, this study allows to emphasize the temperature factor as a main driver of the sprat fishery quality characteristics. The global warming effect, starting since the 1990’s has had a significant negative impact on the sprat population.
About the Authors
M. M. Piatinskii
Azov-Black Sea branch (AzNIIRKH) of VNIRO
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Candidate of the degree of Candidate of Biological Sciences, head of the mathematical modeling and forecasting; group Candidate of Geographical
D. O. Krivoguz
Azov-Black Sea branch (AzNIIRKH) of VNIRO
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Sciences, Chief Specialist of the Information Technology Department
V. A. Shlyakhov
Azov-Black Sea branch (AzNIIRKH) of VNIRO
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Candidate of Biological Sciences, Head of the Laboratory of Aquatic Biological Resources
R. V. Borovskaya
Azov-Black Sea branch (AzNIIRKH) of VNIRO
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
Candidate of Geographical Sciences, Head of the sector of commercial oceanography
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Review
For citations:
Piatinskii M.M., Krivoguz D.O., Shlyakhov V.A., Borovskaya R.V. Long-term warming effect to sprat Sprattus sprattus phalericus (Risso) stock quality characteristics in Crimea-Caucasian shelf of the Black Sea (the article is printed in English). Fisheries. 2022;(2):46-53. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.37663/0131-6184-2022-2-46-53
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